HUMAN DIAGNOSTIC REASONING BY COMPUTER: AN ILLUSTRATION FROM FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

שמור ב:
מידע ביבליוגרפי
הוצא לאור ב:Management Science (pre-1986) vol. 29, no. 6 (Jun 1983), p. 653-672
מחבר ראשי: Bouwman, Marinus J
יצא לאור:
Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
נושאים:
גישה מקוונת:Citation/Abstract
Full Text - PDF
תגים: הוספת תג
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MARC

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100 1 |a Bouwman, Marinus J 
245 1 |a HUMAN DIAGNOSTIC REASONING BY COMPUTER: AN ILLUSTRATION FROM FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 
260 |b Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences  |c Jun 1983 
513 |a statistics 
520 3 |a A major complaint of people who use "decision-making" computer programs is that these programs merely provide a final decision, and fail to present the supporting argumentation, in terms the user can understand. This article presents an approach that makes computer programs more "human-like" by basing them on human decision making behavior. Decision making processes of student financial analysts are captured by asking them to think aloud during their evaluation. These verbal traces, called protocols, are analyzed at various levels of detail, resulting in specific models of the decision making processes involved, the strategies used, and the task-specific (financial) knowledge that is required to perform the task. The models and strategies are translated into executable computer programs. Extensive comparisons between human behavior and model simulation output are provided, assessing the extent that the computer program "thinks" and "talks" like a human decision maker. Although the model clearly suffers from "linguistic rigidity," it does appear to perform the evaluation in a similar manner as the human decision maker examining the same information in the same order, making the same inferences, and reporting the same conclusions. 
653 |a Computer simulation 
653 |a Computers 
653 |a Protocol 
653 |a Bayesian analysis 
653 |a Experiments 
653 |a Disease 
653 |a Decision making 
653 |a Financial analysis 
773 0 |t Management Science (pre-1986)  |g vol. 29, no. 6 (Jun 1983), p. 653-672 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t ABI/INFORM Global 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/205839365/abstract/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/205839365/fulltextPDF/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch