The impact of hurricanes on a property portfolio: an empirical study based on loss data in Portugal

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Publicado en:Managerial Finance vol. 50, no. 3 (2024), p. 634-652
Autor principal: Hauser, Andrea
Otros Autores: Rosa, Carlos, Esteves, Rui, Bugalho, Lourdes, Moura, Alexandra, Oliveira, Carlos
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Emerald Group Publishing Limited
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022 |a 0307-4358 
022 |a 1758-7743 
024 7 |a 10.1108/MF-03-2023-0163  |2 doi 
035 |a 2931055621 
045 2 |b d20240301  |b d20240331 
084 |a 14828  |2 nlm 
100 1 |a Hauser, Andrea  |u Fidelidade Companhia de Seguros SA, Lisbon, Portugal 
245 1 |a The impact of hurricanes on a property portfolio: an empirical study based on loss data in Portugal 
260 |b Emerald Group Publishing Limited  |c 2024 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a PurposeThe simulated scenarios can be used to compute risk premiums per risk class in the portfolio. These can then be used to adjust the policy premiums by accounting for storm risk.Design/methodology/approachA complete model to analyse and characterise future losses of the property portfolio of an insurance company due to hurricanes is proposed. The model is calibrated by using the loss data of the Fidelidade insurance company property portfolio resulting from Hurricane Leslie, which hit the centre of continental Portugal in October, 2018.FindingsSeveral scenarios are simulated and risk maps are constructed. The risk map of the company depends on its portfolio, especially its exposure, and provides a Hurricane risk management tool for the insurance company.Originality/valueA statistical model is considered, in which weather data is not required. The authors reconstruct the behaviour of storms through the registered claims and respective losses. 
610 4 |a Fidelidade - Companhia de Seguros SA 
651 4 |a Portugal 
653 |a Hurricanes 
653 |a Insurance companies 
653 |a Costs 
653 |a Cyclones 
653 |a Storm damage 
653 |a Climate change 
653 |a Insurance industry 
653 |a Risk premiums 
653 |a Property & casualty insurance 
653 |a Councils 
653 |a Variables 
700 1 |a Rosa, Carlos  |u Fidelidade Companhia de Seguros SA, Lisbon, Portugal 
700 1 |a Esteves, Rui  |u Fidelidade Companhia de Seguros SA, Lisbon, Portugal 
700 1 |a Bugalho, Lourdes  |u IPMA, Lisbon, Portugal 
700 1 |a Moura, Alexandra  |u CEMAPRE and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Lisbon, Portugal 
700 1 |a Oliveira, Carlos  |u Department of Mathematics, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal; Department of Industrial Economics and Technology Management, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway 
773 0 |t Managerial Finance  |g vol. 50, no. 3 (2024), p. 634-652 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t ABI/INFORM Global 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/2931055621/abstract/embedded/75I98GEZK8WCJMPQ?source=fedsrch 
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