Agricultural shocks, coping policies and deforestation: Evidence from the coffee leaf rust epidemic in Mexico

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Publicado en:American Journal of Agricultural Economics vol. 106, no. 3 (May 2024), p. 1020
Autor principal: Chort, Isabelle
Otros Autores: Berk Öktem
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Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
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Acceso en línea:Citation/Abstract
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022 |a 0002-9092 
022 |a 1467-8276 
024 7 |a 10.1111/ajae.12441  |2 doi 
035 |a 3032812702 
045 2 |b d20240501  |b d20240531 
084 |a 27541  |2 nlm 
100 1 |a Chort, Isabelle  |u Universite de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour, E2S UPPA, CNRS, TREE, Bayonne, France; Institut Universitaire de France (IUF), Paris, France 
245 1 |a Agricultural shocks, coping policies and deforestation: Evidence from the coffee leaf rust epidemic in Mexico 
260 |b Blackwell Publishing Ltd.  |c May 2024 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a Deforestation in the tropics is a critical issue that interacts with global environmental changes, and the mediating role of negative agricultural shocks is ambiguous. We investigate the impact of the massive epidemic of coffee leaf rust (CLR) that affected Mexico from 2012 on deforestation. CLR is a fungal disease that negatively affects coffee production. We exploit the gradual spread of the epidemic across coffee‐growing municipalities and estimate a difference‐in‐differences model. We find that deforestation increased by 32% in CLR‐affected municipalities, but we find no increase in agricultural land. We find evidence of deforestation in cropland area, and our effects are driven by states where rustic coffee systems were predominant. These results suggest that deforestation occurred within coffee cultivation areas and point out the concurrent role of government subsidies and incentives through the PROCAFE program, launched in 2014, that promoted the replacement of traditional coffee trees by CLR‐resistant hybrids. We study the dynamic effects of CLR and exploit the delayed launch of PROCAFE to try to disentangle the impact of the epidemic from that of the policy response. Our results emphasize the vulnerability of agroforestry systems to exogenous shocks and suggest that PROCAFE, as a short‐term response to CLR, contributed to increasing deforestation and accelerating the transition of Mexican traditional coffee landscapes to monoculture. 
651 4 |a Mexico 
653 |a Epidemics 
653 |a Agricultural land 
653 |a Agroforestry 
653 |a Coffee 
653 |a Fungal diseases 
653 |a Cultivation 
653 |a Coping 
653 |a Environmental changes 
653 |a Tropical environments 
653 |a Monoculture 
653 |a Ambiguity 
653 |a Deforestation 
653 |a Leaves 
653 |a Hybrids 
653 |a Delayed 
653 |a Leaf rust 
653 |a Municipalities 
653 |a Subsidies 
653 |a Trees 
653 |a Cities 
653 |a Agricultural production 
653 |a Agriculture 
653 |a Economic 
700 1 |a Berk Öktem  |u Universite de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour, E2S UPPA, CNRS, TREE, Bayonne, France 
773 0 |t American Journal of Agricultural Economics  |g vol. 106, no. 3 (May 2024), p. 1020 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t ABI/INFORM Global 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3032812702/abstract/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch