Trust Dynamics and Market Behavior in Cryptocurrency: A Comparative Study of Centralized and Decentralized Exchanges

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Publicado no:arXiv.org (Dec 20, 2024), p. n/a
Autor principal: Wu, Xintong
Outros Autores: Deng, Wanlin, Quan, Yutong, Zhang, Luyao
Publicado em:
Cornell University Library, arXiv.org
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022 |a 2331-8422 
035 |a 3049780883 
045 0 |b d20241220 
100 1 |a Wu, Xintong 
245 1 |a Trust Dynamics and Market Behavior in Cryptocurrency: A Comparative Study of Centralized and Decentralized Exchanges 
260 |b Cornell University Library, arXiv.org  |c Dec 20, 2024 
513 |a Working Paper 
520 3 |a In the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency landscape, trust is a critical yet underexplored factor shaping market behaviors and driving user preferences between centralized exchanges (CEXs) and decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Despite its importance, trust remains challenging to measure, limiting the study of its effects on market dynamics. The collapse of FTX, a major CEX, provides a unique natural experiment to examine the measurable impacts of trust and its sudden erosion on the cryptocurrency ecosystem. This pivotal event raised questions about the resilience of centralized trust systems and accelerated shifts toward decentralized alternatives. This research investigates the impacts of the FTX collapse on user trust, focusing on token valuation, trading flows, and sentiment dynamics. Employing causal inference methods, including Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) and Difference-in-Differences (DID), we reveal significant declines in WETH prices and NetFlow from CEXs to DEXs, signaling a measurable transfer of trust. Additionally, natural language processing methods, including topic modeling and sentiment analysis, uncover the complexities of user responses, highlighting shifts from functional discussions to emotional fragmentation in Binance's community, while Uniswap's sentiment exhibits a gradual upward trend. Despite data limitations and external influences, the findings underscore the intricate interplay between trust, sentiment, and market behavior in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. By bridging blockchain analytics, behavioral finance, and decentralized finance (DeFi), this study contributes to interdisciplinary research, offering a deeper understanding of distributed trust mechanisms and providing critical insights for future investigations into the socio-technical dimensions of trust in digital economies. 
653 |a Digital currencies 
653 |a Comparative studies 
653 |a Blockchain 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Cryptography 
653 |a Interdisciplinary studies 
653 |a Computer networks 
653 |a Distributed processing 
700 1 |a Deng, Wanlin 
700 1 |a Quan, Yutong 
700 1 |a Zhang, Luyao 
773 0 |t arXiv.org  |g (Dec 20, 2024), p. n/a 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Engineering Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3049780883/abstract/embedded/ZKJTFFSVAI7CB62C?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full text outside of ProQuest  |u http://arxiv.org/abs/2404.17227