Covert Subversive Agents and Consensus Disruption on Large Projects

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Foilsithe in:International Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security (Mar 2024), p. 421
Príomhchruthaitheoir: Vorster, Johannes
Rannpháirtithe: Leenen, Louise
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe:
Academic Conferences International Limited
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Rochtain ar líne:Citation/Abstract
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045 2 |b d20240301  |b d20240331 
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100 1 |a Vorster, Johannes 
245 1 |a Covert Subversive Agents and Consensus Disruption on Large Projects 
260 |b Academic Conferences International Limited  |c Mar 2024 
513 |a Conference Proceedings 
520 3 |a Is it possible to dramatically affect and influence military and other projects through social engineering of the consensus processes? In this paper we explore the impact that subversive agents can have on the ability of projects to move forward by disrupting the social cohesion and decision-making abilities of the processes designed to reach consensus. A consensus simulator is used to model group social cohesion behaviour in the context of project deliverables and show what the effect can be on the effort to reach consensus (number of meetings) as well as the time to reach consensus (calendar time) when subversive agents attempt to influence the groups making up the project team in such a way that it delays the ability of the team to reach consensus on key decisions. Many military options are available to delay enemy projects, including the assassination of enemy scientists, sanctions aimed at denying key project components, or even direct military action such as bombing the enemy facilities. However, this paper focusses on aspects of soft-force projection through covert disruption of project timelines. A social simulator was constructed that models individual agent's beliefs about various key topics within the context of a project. The effect that a small number of subversive agents can have on the time- and effort of a project is shown. In their covert actions, these subversive agents need to stay hidden, and thus their covert actions are limited, yet they can exert significant damage to the project in terms of delays. In this paper we present results showing the effects that such a small group can have, as well as pointing out that there seem to be a critical group size over which the subversive agents can not only have significant impact on project-delays but can also steer and direct certain key decisions. 
651 4 |a United States--US 
653 |a Disruption 
653 |a Cohesion 
653 |a Military facilities 
653 |a Teams 
653 |a Context 
653 |a Debates 
653 |a Decision making 
653 |a Decisions 
653 |a Social cohesion 
653 |a Bombing 
653 |a Social groups 
653 |a Ability 
653 |a Sanctions 
653 |a Covert 
653 |a Assassinations & assassination attempts 
653 |a Action 
653 |a Group size 
653 |a Agents 
653 |a Covert operations 
700 1 |a Leenen, Louise 
773 0 |t International Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security  |g (Mar 2024), p. 421 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Political Science Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3082337450/abstract/embedded/ZKJTFFSVAI7CB62C?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3082337450/fulltext/embedded/ZKJTFFSVAI7CB62C?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3082337450/fulltextPDF/embedded/ZKJTFFSVAI7CB62C?source=fedsrch