Did industrial and export complexity drive regional economic growth in Brazil?
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| Vydáno v: | PLoS One vol. 19, no. 12 (Dec 2024), p. e0313945 |
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| Hlavní autor: | |
| Další autoři: | , , , |
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Public Library of Science
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| On-line přístup: | Citation/Abstract Full Text Full Text - PDF |
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| LEADER | 00000nab a2200000uu 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 3141380356 | ||
| 003 | UK-CbPIL | ||
| 022 | |a 1932-6203 | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1371/journal.pone.0313945 |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a 3141380356 | ||
| 045 | 2 | |b d20241201 |b d20241231 | |
| 084 | |a 174835 |2 nlm | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Ben-Hur, Francisco Cardoso | |
| 245 | 1 | |a Did industrial and export complexity drive regional economic growth in Brazil? | |
| 260 | |b Public Library of Science |c Dec 2024 | ||
| 513 | |a Journal Article | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a Research on productive structures has shown that economic complexity conditions economic growth. However, little is known about which type of complexity, e.g., export or industrial complexity, matters more for regional economic growth in a large emerging country like Brazil. Brazil exports natural resources and agricultural goods, but a large share of the employment derives from services, non-tradables, and within-country manufacturing trade. Here, we use a large dataset on Brazil’s formal labor market, including approximately 100 million workers and 581 industries, to reveal the patterns of export complexity, industrial complexity, and economic growth of 558 micro-regions between 2003 and 2019. Our results show that export complexity is more evenly spread than industrial complexity. Only a few—mainly developed urban places—have comparative advantages in sophisticated services. Regressions show that a region’s industrial complexity is a significant predictor for 3-year growth prospects, but export complexity is not. Moreover, economic complexity in neighboring regions is significantly associated with economic growth. The results show export complexity does not appropriately depict Brazil’s knowledge base and growth opportunities. Instead, promoting the sophistication of the heterogeneous regional industrial structures and development spillovers is a key to growth. This study demonstrates that industrial complexity, which accounts for all employment sectors, provides a more accurate basis for designing effective and inclusive industrial policies in emerging economies like Brazil, compared to export-based complexity. | |
| 651 | 4 | |a Brazil | |
| 653 | |a Knowledge bases (artificial intelligence) | ||
| 653 | |a Employment | ||
| 653 | |a Industrial policy | ||
| 653 | |a Global economy | ||
| 653 | |a Productivity | ||
| 653 | |a Economic growth | ||
| 653 | |a International trade | ||
| 653 | |a Natural resources | ||
| 653 | |a Regions | ||
| 653 | |a Exports | ||
| 653 | |a Labor market | ||
| 653 | |a Regional development | ||
| 653 | |a Economics | ||
| 653 | |a Infrastructure | ||
| 653 | |a Knowledge | ||
| 653 | |a Economic activity | ||
| 653 | |a Emerging markets | ||
| 653 | |a Gross Domestic Product--GDP | ||
| 653 | |a Complexity | ||
| 653 | |a Economic development | ||
| 653 | |a Sophistication | ||
| 653 | |a Knowledge base | ||
| 653 | |a Economic conditions | ||
| 653 | |a Spillover effect | ||
| 653 | |a Regional economic development | ||
| 653 | |a Agricultural production | ||
| 653 | |a Economic | ||
| 700 | 1 | |a Eva Yamila da Silva Catela | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Viegas, Guilherme | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Pinheiro, Flávio L | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Hartmann, Dominik | |
| 773 | 0 | |t PLoS One |g vol. 19, no. 12 (Dec 2024), p. e0313945 | |
| 786 | 0 | |d ProQuest |t Health & Medical Collection | |
| 856 | 4 | 1 | |3 Citation/Abstract |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3141380356/abstract/embedded/6A8EOT78XXH2IG52?source=fedsrch |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |3 Full Text |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3141380356/fulltext/embedded/6A8EOT78XXH2IG52?source=fedsrch |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |3 Full Text - PDF |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3141380356/fulltextPDF/embedded/6A8EOT78XXH2IG52?source=fedsrch |