OFFICIAL VISITS AND TRADE FLOWS WITH THE UNITED STATES

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Publicado en:The Journal of Developing Areas vol. 59, no. 2 (Spring 2025), p. 257
Autor principal: Kodila-Tedika, Oasis
Otros Autores: Khalifa, Sherif
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Journal of Developing Areas
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Acceso en línea:Citation/Abstract
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100 1 |a Kodila-Tedika, Oasis  |u University Of Kinshasa 
245 1 |a OFFICIAL VISITS AND TRADE FLOWS WITH THE UNITED STATES 
260 |b Journal of Developing Areas  |c Spring 2025 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a This paper examines the effect of the visits of U.S. Presidents and Secretaries of State to a country on bilateral trade flows between that country and the United States. The official visits dummy variables are derived from the historical archives of the U.S. Department of State, while bilateral trade with the United States as a percentage of total trade with the world is compiled from UNCOMTRADE. The fixed effects estimation shows that the visits of U.S. officials to the country do not have a statistically significant effect on the bilateral trade variable. However, the issue of endogeneity cannot be ignored. As much as trade flows may increase after the visits of American officials to the country, these officials may be tempted to visit their major trading partners as well. This is either to ensure the smooth flow of trade, to increase the volume and value of trade, or to contain any trade disputes. This highlights an issue of reverse causality. To address the issue of potential endogeneity, we use the Endogenous Treatment model. The estimation results provide evidence that the official visits of U.S. Presidents and U.S. Secretaries of State have a statistically significant positive effect on bilateral trade with the United States. This is robust even after the inclusion of other control variables identified by the literature as confounding factors for bilateral trade flows. When we examine the effect of different types of visits, the results show that bilateral meetings during the official visits of U.S. Presidents and U.S. Secretaries of State have a statistically significant positive effect. These results imply that the visits of U.S. officials are taken as an opportunity to conclude trade agreements, to contain trade disputes, and to discuss the elimination of trade barriers between the two countries. This enhances the level of bilateral trade between the country and the United States. The paper has multiple policy implications tat are discussed in detail. 
610 4 |a Department of State 
651 4 |a United States--US 
651 4 |a China 
653 |a Causality 
653 |a Disputes 
653 |a First ladies 
653 |a Trade agreements 
653 |a Visits 
653 |a Diplomacy 
653 |a Diplomatic & consular services 
653 |a Dummy 
653 |a Secretaries of state 
653 |a International trade 
653 |a Leadership 
653 |a Presidents 
653 |a Market entry 
653 |a State visits 
653 |a Elimination 
653 |a Secretaries 
653 |a Trade barriers 
653 |a Trade flows 
653 |a Endogenous 
653 |a Exports 
653 |a Trade disputes 
653 |a Variables 
653 |a Archives & records 
653 |a Confounding factors 
653 |a Free trade 
653 |a Economic policy 
653 |a Statistics 
653 |a Trade 
653 |a Trade policy 
653 |a Estimation 
700 1 |a Khalifa, Sherif  |u California State University, Fullerton 
773 0 |t The Journal of Developing Areas  |g vol. 59, no. 2 (Spring 2025), p. 257 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t ABI/INFORM Global 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3192383533/abstract/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3192383533/fulltext/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3192383533/fulltextPDF/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch