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Guidance to develop a tourism demand forecasting model for Portugal

Shranjeno v:
izdano v:OECD Tourism Papers (May 30, 2025)
Izdano:
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)
Teme:
Portugal
Demand
Models
Tourism
Sustainable tourism
Online dostop:Citation/Abstract
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Resumen:This paper presents a feasibility assessment to support Portugal in developing and piloting an international tourism demand-forecasting model. It provides a review of seven types of forecasting methods based on relevant strengths and limitations including data needs, accuracy, complexity, nonlinearity, events, and interpretation, as well as an overview of experiences and good practices in selected peer countries. It then assesses these methods and practices against the needs and available resources in Portugal, finally proposing a forecasting system that can meet Portugal’s needs along with recommended implementation actions based on good practices from peer countries.
ISSN:2307-1672
DOI:10.1787/8a941e5e-en
Fuente:ABI/INFORM Trade & Industry