Improving Orbit Prediction of the Two-Line Element with Orbit Determination Using a Hybrid Algorithm of the Simplex Method and Genetic Algorithm

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Yayımlandı:Aerospace vol. 12, no. 6 (2025), p. 527
Yazar: Liu, Jinghong
Diğer Yazarlar: Wu Chenyun, Long Wanting, Yuan, Bo, Zhang Zhengyuan, Jizhang, Sang
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi:
MDPI AG
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022 |a 2226-4310 
024 7 |a 10.3390/aerospace12060527  |2 doi 
035 |a 3223857821 
045 2 |b d20250101  |b d20251231 
084 |a 231330  |2 nlm 
100 1 |a Liu, Jinghong  |u School of Smart City, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China; wuchenyun@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (C.W.); longwanting@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (W.L.); yuanbo@mail.cqjtu.edu.cn (B.Y.) 
245 1 |a Improving Orbit Prediction of the Two-Line Element with Orbit Determination Using a Hybrid Algorithm of the Simplex Method and Genetic Algorithm 
260 |b MDPI AG  |c 2025 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a With the rapidly increasing number of satellites and orbital debris, collision avoidance and reentry prediction are very important for space situational awareness. A precise orbital prediction through orbit determination is crucial to enhance the space safety. The two-line element (TLE) data sets are publicly available to users worldwide. However, the data sets have uneven qualities and biases, resulting in exponential growth of orbital prediction errors in the along-track direction. A hybrid algorithm of the simplex method and genetic algorithm is proposed to improve orbit determination accuracy using TLEs. The parameters of the algorithm are tuned to achieve the best performance of orbital prediction. Six satellites with consolidated prediction format (CPF) ephemeris and four satellites with precise orbit ephemerides (PODs) are chosen to test the performance of the algorithm. Compared with the results of the least-squares method and simplex method based on Monte Carlo simulation, the new algorithm demonstrated its superiorities in orbital prediction. The algorithm exhibits an accuracy improvement as high as 40.25% for 10 days of orbital prediction compared to that using the single last two-line element. In addition, six satellites are used to evaluate the time efficiency, and the experiments prove that the hybrid algorithm is robust and has computational efficiency. 
653 |a Orbit determination 
653 |a Random variables 
653 |a Space debris 
653 |a Simplex method 
653 |a Ephemerides 
653 |a Optimization techniques 
653 |a Mutation 
653 |a Least squares method 
653 |a Collision avoidance 
653 |a Accuracy 
653 |a Datasets 
653 |a Genetic algorithms 
653 |a Space surveillance 
653 |a Monte Carlo simulation 
653 |a Neural networks 
653 |a Chromosomes 
653 |a Situational awareness 
653 |a Algorithms 
653 |a Satellites 
653 |a Methods 
653 |a Kalman filters 
653 |a Satellite tracking 
653 |a Ordinary differential equations 
700 1 |a Wu Chenyun  |u School of Smart City, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China; wuchenyun@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (C.W.); longwanting@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (W.L.); yuanbo@mail.cqjtu.edu.cn (B.Y.) 
700 1 |a Long Wanting  |u School of Smart City, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China; wuchenyun@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (C.W.); longwanting@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (W.L.); yuanbo@mail.cqjtu.edu.cn (B.Y.) 
700 1 |a Yuan, Bo  |u School of Smart City, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China; wuchenyun@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (C.W.); longwanting@mails.cqjtu.edu.cn (W.L.); yuanbo@mail.cqjtu.edu.cn (B.Y.) 
700 1 |a Zhang Zhengyuan  |u School of Geodesy and Geomatics, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China; zhangzhengyuan@whu.edu.cn 
700 1 |a Jizhang, Sang  |u School of Geodesy and Geomatics, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China; zhangzhengyuan@whu.edu.cn 
773 0 |t Aerospace  |g vol. 12, no. 6 (2025), p. 527 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223857821/abstract/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text + Graphics  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223857821/fulltextwithgraphics/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223857821/fulltextPDF/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch