Lobster Yield Dynamics in a Warming Ocean: A Generalized Linear Modeling Case Study in Prince Edward Island, Canada

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Publicado en:Foods vol. 14, no. 12 (2025), p. 2072-2091
Autor principal: Khan Manzura
Otros Autores: Wang, Xiuquan, Thakur, Krishna Kumar, Guild, Ryan, Nawaz, Rana Ali, Muhammad, Awais
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MDPI AG
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024 7 |a 10.3390/foods14122072  |2 doi 
035 |a 3223907365 
045 2 |b d20250615  |b d20250630 
084 |a 231462  |2 nlm 
100 1 |a Khan Manzura  |u Canadian Centre for Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, St. Peter’s Bay, PE C0A 2A0, Canada; manzura_poly@yahoo.co.uk (M.K.); 
245 1 |a Lobster Yield Dynamics in a Warming Ocean: A Generalized Linear Modeling Case Study in Prince Edward Island, Canada 
260 |b MDPI AG  |c 2025 
513 |a Case Study Journal Article 
520 3 |a The lobster fishery is the third largest industry in Prince Edward Island (PEI), Atlantic Canada. Rising water temperatures due to global warming are impacting the successful completion of the lobster life cycle, which is heavily dependent on water temperature. This study investigated the relationship between lobster landings and sea surface temperature (SST) in PEI. Using Generalized Linear Models (GLM), we identified a significant correlation between annual historical lobster landings and monthly sea surface temperatures (SST) in the waters around PEI from 1990 to 2021. Considering the 5–8 year maturation period of lobsters, we applied a lagged SST structure over an 8-year period and used a Generalized Linear Model (GLM) to evaluate the relationship between historical SST and lobster landings. Our findings suggest that historical increases in SST are correlated with changes in lobster landings. Given the known sensitivities of lobster life cycles (i.e., spawning, larval development) and behavior (i.e., mating) to high ambient water temperature, our study also offers important insights for future fishery management under anticipated climate change scenarios. 
651 4 |a Canada 
651 4 |a United Kingdom--UK 
651 4 |a Prince Edward Island Canada 
651 4 |a United States--US 
653 |a Climate change 
653 |a Fisheries 
653 |a Shellfish 
653 |a Global warming 
653 |a Datasets 
653 |a Sea surface temperature 
653 |a Trends 
653 |a Emissions 
653 |a Lobsters 
653 |a Generalized linear models 
653 |a Water temperature 
653 |a Fishery management 
653 |a Ecosystems 
653 |a Developmental stages 
653 |a Ocean temperature 
653 |a Fishing zones 
653 |a Spawning 
653 |a Ocean warming 
653 |a Temperature dependence 
653 |a Fisheries management 
653 |a Life cycles 
653 |a Larval development 
653 |a Crustaceans 
653 |a Ambient temperature 
653 |a Spawning behavior 
653 |a Fishing equipment 
653 |a Mating behavior 
653 |a Statistical models 
700 1 |a Wang, Xiuquan  |u Canadian Centre for Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, St. Peter’s Bay, PE C0A 2A0, Canada; manzura_poly@yahoo.co.uk (M.K.); 
700 1 |a Thakur, Krishna Kumar  |u Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, PE C1A 4P3, Canada; kthakur@upei.ca 
700 1 |a Guild, Ryan  |u Canadian Centre for Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, St. Peter’s Bay, PE C0A 2A0, Canada; manzura_poly@yahoo.co.uk (M.K.); 
700 1 |a Nawaz, Rana Ali  |u Canadian Centre for Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, St. Peter’s Bay, PE C0A 2A0, Canada; manzura_poly@yahoo.co.uk (M.K.); 
700 1 |a Muhammad, Awais  |u Canadian Centre for Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, St. Peter’s Bay, PE C0A 2A0, Canada; manzura_poly@yahoo.co.uk (M.K.); 
773 0 |t Foods  |g vol. 14, no. 12 (2025), p. 2072-2091 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Agriculture Science Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223907365/abstract/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text + Graphics  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223907365/fulltextwithgraphics/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223907365/fulltextPDF/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch