The Dark Side of Growth: Are Shadow Economies Undermining the Global Climate Goal?

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Publicat a:Sustainability vol. 17, no. 12 (2025), p. 5241-5266
Autor principal: Lobont, Oana Ramona
Altres autors: Doran, Nicoleta Mihaela, Vatavu Sorana, Barbulescu Mariana Alexandra, Costea Florin, Badareu Gabriela
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MDPI AG
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045 2 |b d20250101  |b d20251231 
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100 1 |a Lobont, Oana Ramona  |u Department of Finance, Business Information Systems and Modelling, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, West University of Timisoara, 300223 Timisoara, Romania; oana.lobont@e-uvt.ro 
245 1 |a The Dark Side of Growth: Are Shadow Economies Undermining the Global Climate Goal? 
260 |b MDPI AG  |c 2025 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a This study investigates the underexplored relationship between the shadow economy and environmental degradation and governance within the European Union, focusing on CO2 and GHG emissions, and climate-related natural disasters, from 2012 to 2021. Employing both panel data econometrics and Elastic Net regularisation, the analysis reveals asymmetric effects: while a larger shadow economy is associated with lower reported GHG emissions, likely due to underreporting or less energy-intensive activities, it simultaneously increases vulnerability to climate-induced disasters. Furthermore, environmental taxes, although effective in mitigating emissions, show limited impact on disaster frequency, suggesting that fiscal instruments alone may be insufficient to foster climate resilience. Economic prosperity correlates with higher emissions and greater climate risk, highlighting a trade-off between growth and sustainability. The findings underscore the necessity of integrating informal economic activities into environmental governance frameworks, particularly in the context of the European Green Deal. Recognising and regulating the environmental footprint of the shadow economy is essential for achieving comprehensive and equitable climate goals. Future research should explore the role of institutional quality and fiscal transparency in moderating the environmental effects of informality. Overall, this study calls for a rethinking of climate policies to include both the formal and informal dimensions of economic activity. 
653 |a Environmental economics 
653 |a Sustainable development 
653 |a Deterrence 
653 |a Emissions 
653 |a Economic activity 
653 |a Environmental regulations 
653 |a Taxation 
653 |a Rule of law 
653 |a Economic development 
653 |a Gross Domestic Product--GDP 
653 |a Environmental impact 
653 |a Compliance 
653 |a Literature reviews 
653 |a Econometrics 
653 |a Economic growth 
653 |a Informal economy 
653 |a Climate change 
653 |a Accountability 
700 1 |a Doran, Nicoleta Mihaela  |u Department of Finance, Banking and Economic Analysis, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Craiova, 200585 Craiova, Romania; nicoleta.doran@edu.ucv.ro (N.M.D.); gg.badareu@mail.ru (G.B.) 
700 1 |a Vatavu Sorana  |u Department of Finance, Business Information Systems and Modelling, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, West University of Timisoara, 300223 Timisoara, Romania; oana.lobont@e-uvt.ro 
700 1 |a Barbulescu Mariana Alexandra  |u Sustainable Finance Programme, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, West University of Timisoara, 300223 Timisoara, Romania; mariana.barbulescu02@e-uvt.ro 
700 1 |a Costea Florin  |u Doctoral School of Economics and Business Administration, West University of Timisoara, 300223 Timisoara, Romania; florin.costea@e-uvt.ro 
700 1 |a Badareu Gabriela  |u Department of Finance, Banking and Economic Analysis, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Craiova, 200585 Craiova, Romania; nicoleta.doran@edu.ucv.ro (N.M.D.); gg.badareu@mail.ru (G.B.) 
773 0 |t Sustainability  |g vol. 17, no. 12 (2025), p. 5241-5266 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Publicly Available Content Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223942920/abstract/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text + Graphics  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223942920/fulltextwithgraphics/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3223942920/fulltextPDF/embedded/7BTGNMKEMPT1V9Z2?source=fedsrch