Assessment of the Offshore Migration of Mussel Production Based on an Aquaculture Similarity Index (ASI)

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Publicat a:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering vol. 13, no. 10 (2025), p. 1869-1890
Autor principal: deCastro, Nicolás G
Altres autors: deCastro Maite, Marisela, Des, Xurxo, Costoya, Gómez-Gesteira Moncho
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MDPI AG
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100 1 |a deCastro, Nicolás G 
245 1 |a Assessment of the Offshore Migration of Mussel Production Based on an Aquaculture Similarity Index (ASI) 
260 |b MDPI AG  |c 2025 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a Climate change is increasingly affecting the aquaculture sector, particularly in estuarine systems that support high-value production. In the Galician Rías Baixas, where shellfish farming is a cornerstone of the coastal economy, rising sea temperatures, sea-level rise, and changing precipitation patterns pose significant risks to mussel aquaculture. This study presents a spatially explicit Aquaculture Suitability Similarity Index (ASI) designed to identify alternative cultivation areas that replicate the environmental and logistical characteristics of historically successful mussel farms. The ASI integrates a set of environmental variables (water temperature, salinity, biogeochemical quality, current velocity, and wave height) and technical constraints (depth and distance to port), with factor weights derived via expert elicitation using the Delphi method. Results show that most waters are highly similar to current farming areas, suggesting strong potential for spatial expansion or relocation. In contrast, areas near the mouths of the rías and the adjacent continental shelf show lower suitability due to greater oceanic exposure and associated logistical challenges. The ASI provides a robust, transferable tool to inform aquaculture spatial planning and climate adaptation strategies. Its methodological framework can be adapted to other regions and species, supporting evidence-based decision-making for sustainable aquaculture development. 
651 4 |a Spain 
651 4 |a Iberian Peninsula 
651 4 |a Azores 
653 |a Mollusks 
653 |a Climate change 
653 |a Islands 
653 |a Spatial planning 
653 |a Offshore 
653 |a Similarity 
653 |a Shellfish 
653 |a Aquaculture development 
653 |a Shellfish culture 
653 |a Brackishwater environment 
653 |a Estuaries 
653 |a Water temperature 
653 |a Continental shelves 
653 |a Wave height 
653 |a Sea level changes 
653 |a Relocation 
653 |a Climate adaptation 
653 |a Sustainable aquaculture 
653 |a Water quality 
653 |a Delphi method 
653 |a Current velocity 
653 |a Algae 
653 |a Climate change adaptation 
653 |a Aquaculture 
653 |a Shellfish farming 
653 |a Sustainable development 
653 |a Decision making 
653 |a Environmental 
700 1 |a deCastro Maite 
700 1 |a Marisela, Des 
700 1 |a Xurxo, Costoya 
700 1 |a Gómez-Gesteira Moncho 
773 0 |t Journal of Marine Science and Engineering  |g vol. 13, no. 10 (2025), p. 1869-1890 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Engineering Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3265915606/abstract/embedded/J7RWLIQ9I3C9JK51?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text + Graphics  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3265915606/fulltextwithgraphics/embedded/J7RWLIQ9I3C9JK51?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3265915606/fulltextPDF/embedded/J7RWLIQ9I3C9JK51?source=fedsrch