A logistic-Lasso-regression-based seismic fragility analysis method for electrical equipment considering structural and seismic parameter uncertainty

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
الحاوية / القاعدة:Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration vol. 24, no. 1 (Jan 2025), p. 169
المؤلف الرئيسي: Cui, Jiawei
مؤلفون آخرون: Che, Ailan, Li, Sheng, Cheng, Yongfeng
منشور في:
Springer Nature B.V.
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Citation/Abstract
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024 7 |a 10.1007/s11803-025-2300-1  |2 doi 
035 |a 3275324976 
045 2 |b d20250101  |b d20250131 
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100 1 |a Cui, Jiawei  |u Harbin Institute of Technology, Key Lab of Structures Dynamic Behavior and Control of the Ministry of Education, School of Civil Engineering, Harbin, China (GRID:grid.19373.3f) (ISNI:0000 0001 0193 3564); Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Ocean and Civil Engineering, Shanghai, China (GRID:grid.16821.3c) (ISNI:0000 0004 0368 8293) 
245 1 |a A logistic-Lasso-regression-based seismic fragility analysis method for electrical equipment considering structural and seismic parameter uncertainty 
260 |b Springer Nature B.V.  |c Jan 2025 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a Damage to electrical equipment in an earthquake can lead to power outage of power systems. Seismic fragility analysis is a common method to assess the seismic reliability of electrical equipment. To further guarantee the efficiency of analysis, multi-source uncertainties including the structure itself and seismic excitation need to be considered. A method for seismic fragility analysis that reflects structural and seismic parameter uncertainty was developed in this study. The proposed method used a random sampling method based on Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) to account for the structure parameter uncertainty and the group structure characteristics of electrical equipment. Then, logistic Lasso regression (LLR) was used to find the seismic fragility surface based on double ground motion intensity measures (IM). The seismic fragility based on the finite element model of an ±1000 kV main transformer (UHVMT) was analyzed using the proposed method. The results show that the seismic fragility function obtained by this method can be used to construct the relationship between the uncertainty parameters and the failure probability. The seismic fragility surface did not only provide the probabilities of seismic damage states under different IMs, but also had better stability than the fragility curve. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis of the structural parameters revealed that the elastic module of the bushing and the height of the high-voltage bushing may have a greater influence. 
653 |a Earthquakes 
653 |a Parameters 
653 |a Finite element method 
653 |a Sensitivity analysis 
653 |a Parameter sensitivity 
653 |a Sampling methods 
653 |a Electrical equipment 
653 |a Fragility 
653 |a Hypercubes 
653 |a Seismic analysis 
653 |a Ground motion 
653 |a Random sampling 
653 |a Parameter uncertainty 
653 |a Statistical analysis 
653 |a Seismic properties 
653 |a Seismic response 
653 |a Statistical sampling 
653 |a Earthquake damage 
653 |a Uncertainty 
653 |a Electric equipment 
653 |a Latin hypercube sampling 
653 |a Seismic activity 
653 |a Regression analysis 
653 |a Economic 
700 1 |a Che, Ailan  |u Harbin Institute of Technology, Key Lab of Structures Dynamic Behavior and Control of the Ministry of Education, School of Civil Engineering, Harbin, China (GRID:grid.19373.3f) (ISNI:0000 0001 0193 3564); Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Naval Architecture, Ocean and Civil Engineering, Shanghai, China (GRID:grid.16821.3c) (ISNI:0000 0004 0368 8293) 
700 1 |a Li, Sheng  |u University of Science and Technology Beijing, School of Civil and Resource Engineering, Beijing, China (GRID:grid.69775.3a) (ISNI:0000 0004 0369 0705); China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China (GRID:grid.69775.3a) (ISNI:0000 0004 5928 1249) 
700 1 |a Cheng, Yongfeng  |u China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China (GRID:grid.69775.3a) (ISNI:0000 0004 5928 1249) 
773 0 |t Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration  |g vol. 24, no. 1 (Jan 2025), p. 169 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Science Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3275324976/abstract/embedded/75I98GEZK8WCJMPQ?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3275324976/fulltextPDF/embedded/75I98GEZK8WCJMPQ?source=fedsrch