Seismic Reliability Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Arch Bridges Considering Component Correlation

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Publicado en:Buildings vol. 15, no. 24 (2025), p. 4442-4461
Autor principal: Liu, Jianjun
Otros Autores: Zhang Jijin, Zhang Hanzhao, Ye Hongping, Wang, Xuemin
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MDPI AG
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022 |a 2075-5309 
024 7 |a 10.3390/buildings15244442  |2 doi 
035 |a 3286267847 
045 2 |b d20250101  |b d20251231 
084 |a 231437  |2 nlm 
100 1 |a Liu, Jianjun  |u College of Civil Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China; liujj@gzjtsjy.com 
245 1 |a Seismic Reliability Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Arch Bridges Considering Component Correlation 
260 |b MDPI AG  |c 2025 
513 |a Journal Article 
520 3 |a To more effectively account for the correlation between components in the seismic reliability analysis of reinforced concrete arch bridges, this study proposes a system seismic reliability analysis method based on the D-vine Copula function. First, based on the theories of seismic vulnerability and hazard, the seismic vulnerability curves of key components (arch ring, piers, main girder, columns) and the site hazard curves are obtained. Second, a trial algorithm is used to determine alternative combinations of Pair-Copula functions. The maximum likelihood estimation method is employed to solve for the parameter θ, and the optimal Pair-Copula function is selected based on AIC and BIC information criteria. The optimal Pair-Copula function for each layer in the D-vine structure is determined through hierarchical iteration, ultimately constructing a seismic reliability evaluation framework for arch bridge systems that incorporates component correlations. The results show that the damage probability of the arch ring is consistently the highest, followed by the piers and main girder, with the columns having the lowest probability. Compared to ignoring component correlation, the seismic reliability indices of the system under minor, moderate, severe damage, and complete failure states all decrease when correlation is considered, indicating that component correlation significantly affects system reliability. Ignoring correlation leads to an overestimation of the system’s seismic performance. The seismic reliability indices obtained by the D-vine Copula method and Monte Carlo simulation are in good agreement, with a maximum relative error not exceeding 2.26%, verifying the applicability and accuracy of the D-vine Copula method in the reliability analysis of complex structural systems. By constructing an accurate joint probability distribution model, this study effectively accounts for the nonlinear correlation characteristics between components. Compared to the traditional Monte Carlo simulation, which relies on large-scale repeated sampling, the D-vine Copula method significantly reduces computational complexity through analytical derivation, improving computational efficiency by over 80%. 
651 4 |a China 
653 |a Concrete bridges 
653 |a Reliability analysis 
653 |a Arch bridges 
653 |a System reliability 
653 |a Random variables 
653 |a Columns (structural) 
653 |a Concrete 
653 |a Seismic hazard 
653 |a Seismic surveys 
653 |a Computer applications 
653 |a Probability distribution 
653 |a Piers 
653 |a Reinforced concrete 
653 |a Computer simulation 
653 |a Monte Carlo simulation 
653 |a Seismic response 
653 |a Correlation 
653 |a Earthquake damage 
653 |a Earthquakes 
653 |a Maximum likelihood estimation 
653 |a Methods 
653 |a Complexity 
653 |a Bridges 
700 1 |a Zhang Jijin  |u Guizhou Road & Bridge Group Co., Ltd., Guiyang 550001, China 
700 1 |a Zhang Hanzhao  |u Poly Changda Engineering Co., Limited, Guangzhou 510620, China; 17773126133@163.com 
700 1 |a Ye Hongping  |u Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey & Design Academe Co., Ltd., Guiyang 550081, China; 18786145121@163.com 
700 1 |a Wang, Xuemin  |u College of Civil Engineering, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China 
773 0 |t Buildings  |g vol. 15, no. 24 (2025), p. 4442-4461 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t Engineering Database 
856 4 1 |3 Citation/Abstract  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3286267847/abstract/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text + Graphics  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3286267847/fulltextwithgraphics/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch 
856 4 0 |3 Full Text - PDF  |u https://www.proquest.com/docview/3286267847/fulltextPDF/embedded/L8HZQI7Z43R0LA5T?source=fedsrch