A simple method for estimating age-specific rates from sequential cross sections

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Wydane w:Demography (pre-2011) vol. 39, no. 2 (May 2002), p. 287-310
1. autor: Schmertmann, Carl P
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Springer Nature B.V.
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100 1 |a Schmertmann, Carl P 
245 1 |a A simple method for estimating age-specific rates from sequential cross sections 
260 |b Springer Nature B.V.  |c May 2002 
513 |a PERIODICAL 
520 3 |a A simple formula for estimating age-specific event rates for a period from "before" and "after" cross sections is developed and demonstrated. The general approach applies to a wide range of estimation problems in demography, the social sciences, and epidemiology. The method arises from the formal mathematics of unstable populations and is similar in spirit to "variable-r" methods. Unlike those methods, however, the new technique does not require specialized computer programming or iterative calculations, and event rates can be calculated directly from cross-sectional data in simple spreadsheets. The article includes a formal mathematical exposition of the method, simulation tests, and several examples.   I develop and demonstrate a simple formula for estimating age-specific event rates for a period from "before" and "after" cross sections. The general approach applies to a wide range of estimation problems in demography, the social sciences, and epidemiology. The method arises from the formal mathematics of unstable populations and is similar in spirit to "variable-r" methods. Unlike those methods, however, the new technique does not require specialized computer programming or iterative calculations, and event rates can be calculated directly from cross-sectional data in simple spreadsheets. The article includes a formal mathematical exposition of the method, simulation tests, and several examples. 
650 2 2 |a Adolescent 
650 2 2 |a Adult 
650 1 2 |a Age Distribution 
650 1 2 |a Birth Rate 
650 2 2 |a Cross-Sectional Studies 
650 2 2 |a Data Interpretation, Statistical 
650 1 2 |a Demography 
650 2 2 |a Epidemiology 
650 2 2 |a Female 
650 1 2 |a Fertility 
650 2 2 |a Humans 
650 2 2 |a Linear Models 
650 2 2 |a Parity 
650 2 2 |a Social Sciences 
653 |a Studies 
653 |a Mathematical models 
653 |a Estimating techniques 
653 |a Statistical analysis 
653 |a Demographics 
653 |a Population 
653 |a Smoking 
653 |a Computer programming 
653 |a Family planning 
653 |a Age 
653 |a Mathematics 
653 |a Methods 
653 |a Censuses 
653 |a Grammatical aspect 
653 |a Spreadsheets 
653 |a Simulation 
653 |a Social research 
653 |a Age differences 
653 |a Estimation 
653 |a Social 
773 0 |t Demography (pre-2011)  |g vol. 39, no. 2 (May 2002), p. 287-310 
786 0 |d ProQuest  |t ABI/INFORM Global 
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